2015 Queen Elizabeth Stakes Late Mail

April 11th, 2015

Just 12 runners remain in contention for this afternoon’s featured Group 1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m) at Royal Randwick following the removal of leading contender Contributer overnight; offering exceptional value from a betting standpoint.

Criterion will be difficult to beat in this afternoon's Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Photo: Steve Hart

Criterion will be difficult to beat in this afternoon’s Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Photo: Steve Hart

Having stamped himself as a serious Queen Elizabeth Stakes prospect following three impressive wins this season including two at the highest level, Contributer was found to be lame in the off foreleg on Friday evening as was promptly scratched from proceedings as a result.

Japanese raider To The World has assumed favouritism in 2015 Queen Elizabeth Stakes betting markets as a result, currently available at a quote of $3.50 for success with leading online bookie Ladbrokes.com.au.

Finishing outside the first three only twice since debuting to racing in 2013, To The World was a standout performer over his most recent preparation in his homeland, highlighted by close second place finishes in the Group 2 St. Lite Kinen (2200m) and Group 1 Arima Kinen (2500m); the latter in which he beat home the likes of Gold Ship and Just A Way.

Having placed a credible second in the Group 1 The BMW (2400m) upon debuting in Australia a fortnight ago, Zac Purton will take the ride on the King Kamehameha entire and will leave from barrier 5.

Having opened at a quote of $8 for success this afternoon, local hopeful Criterion has cut in to odds of $3.80 to figure as clear market mover and outright second-favourite for success.

A two-time Group 1 winner over the 2014 Autumn Carnival, Criterion returned in typically competitive form over spring but perhaps posted a career-best result to date when third in the Group 1 Hong Kong Cup (2000m) at Sha Tin in December.

Allocated the ideal barrier 4, Criterion is a proven wet track specialist and will be very hard to beat this afternoon.

Cox Plate hero Adelaide is yet to contest an event this year but has cut into outright third favouritism in 2015 Queen Elizabeth Stakes betting markets following the removal of Contributer; currently available at a generous quote of $6.

Yet to finish outside the first three through his eight career starts to date, the Galileo entire ran second in each of the Group 2 King Edwards VII Stakes (2414m) and Group 1 Belmont Derby (2011m) before breaking through for a maiden Group 1 victory in the Secretariat Stakes (2011m) at Chicago’s Arlington Course on August 16th.

Confirmed to be partnered by regular jockey Ryan Moore, Adelaide will need some luck in running from barrier 8.

As a result of the inclement weather and soft track conditions, proven wet track performers Royal Descent ($13) and Lucia Valentina ($14) are also more than worth consideration for a bet at double figure odds.

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2015 Queen Elizabeth Stakes Late Mail Tips

  1. Criterion ($3.80)
  2. Red Cadeaux ($26)
  3. Royal Descent ($13)